Structural-dynamic model of value-semantic regulation of activities: theoretical-mathematical reconstruction based on the K. Levin equation

The purpose of the study: to develop a structural and dynamic model of value-semantic regulation of activity based on the K. Levin equation to describe the mechanisms of adaptation in conditions of increased stress. Materials and methods: a theoretical and mathematical reconstruction of the equation of behavior has been carried out. Empirical validation was performed on a sample of 1,398 conditionally normal respondents and 120 patients with non-psychotic mental disorders. The three-level assessment of the value-semantic sphere (conscious, preconscious and unconscious levels), the scale of social frustration, the severity multiplier (λ), the indices of deformation of the value-semantic sphere (DVm) were used. Regression and ROC analysis are applied. Results: Regression analysis showed that the coefficient of determination (R2) for the generalized model was 0.779. This indicates that up to 77.9% of the variability in behavioral risk indicators in the clinical sample and in the conditional norm group is associated with predictors included in the model. A statistically significant moderating effect of the interaction between DVm and λ has been confirmed. The prognostic accuracy of the classification of the risk of mental maladaptation is high (AUC=0.902). The thresholds for the transition to unstable adaptation have been identified. Conclusions: The disintegration of the value-semantic sphere is one of the key mechanisms responsible for the risk of mental maladaptation. The model has a fairly high predictive value and is promising for use in decision support systems both in clinical practice (individual selection of therapeutic strategies, rehabilitation planning, monitoring of condition dynamics) and in the management of mental health system resources: personnel (optimizing the workload of specialists, distributing clinical cases by complexity level), financial (prioritization financing of preventive programs for at-risk groups), organizational (planning of the bed fund, patient routing) and time resources (early detection of prodromal conditions for timely intervention).

1. Gadzhieva A.M., Vasilenko T.D. Features of the Interrelationship of Anxiety and Processes of Psychological Adaptation of Residents of the Kursk Region under Conditions of Forced Relocation. Medical (Clinical) Psychology: Science and Practice: Collection of Articles from the International Scientific and Practical Conference. Kursk: Kurskiy gosudarstvennyy meditsinskiy universitet; 2025. P. 47-49. EDN LKZZEX. (in Russian)

2. Zyukina O.V., Vasilenko T.D. Features of the Mechanisms of Psychological Defenses in Forced Migrants during the Special Military Operation (SVO). Medical (Clinical) Psychology: Science and Practice: Collection of Articles from the International Scientific and Practical Conference. Kursk: Kurskiy gosudarstvennyy meditsinskiy universitet; 2025. P. 95-97. EDN PDSMEO. (in Russian)

3. Blyum A.I., Vasilenko T.D. Personal Factors of Adaptive Experience of Uncertainty Situations. Lichnost v menyayushchemsya mire: zdorov'e, adaptatsiya, razvitie. 2024;12(4):345-354. DOI: 10.23888/humJ2024124345-354 (in Russian)

4. Sitkina E.V., Smirnova E.S., Isaeva E.R. Study of the Emotional State of Residents of Saint Petersburg and the Leningrad Region in Connection with Forced Self-Isolation during the COVID-19 Pandemic. VICH-infektsiya i immunosupressii. 2022;14(1):115-120. DOI: 10.22328/2077-9828-2022-14-1-115-120. EDN JDPNZV. (in Russian)

5. Kurbatov A.V., Kurbatova L.A. Value-Semantic Culture of Sustainable Development. Kul'tura i tsivilizatsiya. 2021;11(2A):26-35. DOI: 10.34670/AR.2021.13.39.004 (in Russian)

6. Karpovich Ya.A., Radievskaya Ya.I. Value Orientations of Modern Youth. In: The Role of Social and Humanitarian Disciplines in Shaping the Worldview and Professional Culture of Future Specialists: Electronic Collection of Materials from the Interuniversity Student Scientific and Practical Conference. Brest: BrGU; 2023. P. 35-38. (in Russian)

7. Rozanov I.A., Ratnikova V.Yu., Polovinkina A.V. Alcohol Dependence and Social-Stress Disorders: Structural-Dynamic Interrelationships and Common Predictors. Voprosy narkologii. 2025;37(6):60-81. EDN EMLQSO. (in Russian)

8. Shport S.V., Dubinskiy A.A., Pronicheva M.M., Rozanov I.A. Value-Semantic and Individual-Psychological Features of Personality as Risk Factors of Deviant Behavior. Psikhologiya i pravo. 2025;15(2):185-206. (in Russian)

9. Dubinskiy A.A., Shport S.V., Bulygina V.G. Modern Domestic Studies of Psychological Indicators and Factors of Social Tension. Mir nauki. Pedagogika i psikhologiya. 2024;12(6). (in Russian)

10. Tkachenko A.A., Demidova L.Yu. Construction of a General Model of Self-Regulation in Forensic Psychiatry. Message 2. Inner Speech as a Mechanism for Recoding Meaning and Significance. Rossiyskiy psikhiatricheskiy zhurnal. 2018;(6):17-26. EDN FOTJGO. (in Russian)

11. Tkachenko A.A., Demidova L.Yu. Construction of Self-Regulation Models in Forensic Psychiatry. In: Makushkin E.V., Fastovtsova G.A. (eds.). Forensic Psychiatry: Current Problems of Theory and Practice (Diagnostics, Examination, Prevention): Materials of the Scientific and Practical Conference with International Participation. Moscow: NMITS psikhiatrii i narkologii im. V.P. Serbskogo; 2018. P. 159-161. EDN VMSKUA. (in Russian)

12. Vasilenko T.D., Petrashevskaya Yu.L., Smirnov N.V. Interrelationship of Perceived Stress Level and Emotional Dysregulation in SVO Participants. Rossiyskiy psikhiatricheskiy zhurnal. 2025;(2):69-75. EDN NTHJPN. (in Russian)

13. Demchenko T.V., Isaeva E.R. Emotional and Value-Semantic Spheres, Self-Perception and Attitude towards One's Future under Conditions of Severe Somatic Disease (on the Example of Patients with Stroke). Uchenye zapiski universiteta im. P.F. Lesgafta. 2021;5(195):470-479. DOI: 10.34835/issn.2308-1961.2021.5.p470-479. EDN CFOSHI. (in Russian)

14. Tkachenko A.A., Demidova L.Yu. Construction of a General Model of Self-Regulation in Forensic Psychiatry. Message 4. Situation: Memory of the Future. Rossiyskiy psikhiatricheskiy zhurnal. 2020;(1):27-41. DOI: 10.24411/1560-957X-2020-12003. EDN MVIHRU. (in Russian)

15. Belinskaya E.P. Coping with Difficulties in the Era of Uncertainty and Global Risks: Main Research Trends. Vestnik Kemerovskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. 2022;24(6):760-771. DOI: 10.21603/2078-8975-2022-24-6-760-771 (in Russian)

16. Vasilenko T.D., Soldatenko K.A. Resilience as a Factor of Post-Traumatic Growth. Medical Psychology in Defense of the Country's Health: Collection of Scientific Papers from the International Scientific and Practical Conference. Kursk: Kurskiy gosudarstvennyy meditsinskiy universitet; 2024. P. 228-230. EDN GRTEEJ. (in Russian)

17. Vasilenko T.D., Petrashevskaya Yu.L., Smirnov N.V., Gulakov D.A. Perception of a Traumatic Event by Combat Participants. Vestnik RGGU. Seriya: Psikhologiya. Pedagogika. Obrazovanie. 2025;(2):151-165. DOI: 10.28995/2073-6398-2025-2-151-165. EDN UOGCZC. (in Russian)

18. Ipatova K.A., Stolyarova A.A., Isaeva E.R. On the Issue of Perception of Time Perspective in Persons Dependent on Psychoactive Substances. Natsional'nyy psikhologicheskiy zhurnal. 2023;18(4):53-62. DOI: 10.11621/npj.2023.0405. EDN HWTFEI. (in Russian)

19. Dubinskiy A.A., Pronicheva M.M., Rozanov I.A., Gorshkova M.Yu. Gender Features of the Value-Semantic Sphere of the Population of the Russian Federation. Novye psikhologicheskie issledovaniya. 2025;5(4):241-254. (in Russian)

20. Shport S.V., Bulygina V.G., Tyulenev A.V., Rozanov I.A., Dubinskiy A.A., Pronicheva M.M., et al. Program for Assessing the Risk of Social Tension and Socially Aggressive Behavior: Certificate of State Registration of Computer Program No. 2025687721. Rossiyskaya Federatsiya; 2025. (in Russian)

21. Noss I.N., Bulygina V.G., Pronicheva M.M. Methodology for Studying Value-Semantic Constructs of Personality. Ch. 6. In: Fadeev V.A., Varhotov T.A. (eds.). Tsennostno-smyslovye i intellektual'nye osnovaniya strategicheskogo razvitiya Rossii v usloviyakh global'nykh vyzovov: kollektivnaya nauchnaya monografiya. Moscow: Neptun; 2023. P. 94-119. (in Russian)

22. Lewin K. Principles of Topological Psychology. New York: McGraw-Hill; 1936.

23. Lewin K. Defining the "Field at a Given Time". Psychological Review. 1943;50:292-310.

24. Serikov A.E. Conceptual Construct "Behavior" in Kurt Lewin's Field Theory. Gumanitarnyy vektor. 2020;(4):180-186. (in Russian)

25. Roşca V., Dziura B. From Life Space to Cyberspace: Reimagining Lewin's and Bourdieu's Field Theories for the Digital Era. Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence. 2025;19:1666-1675. DOI: 10.2478/picbe-2025-0128.

26. Lindorfer B. Personality Theory in Gestalt Theoretical Psychotherapy: Kurt Lewin's Field Theory and his Theory of Systems in Tension Revisited. Gestalt Theory. 2021;43:29-46. DOI: 10.2478/gth-2021-0002.

27. Lebedeva A.B. Conceptualization of Kurt Lewin's Field Theory in the Paradigm of Transactional Analysis. Tranzaktnyy Analiz v Rossii. 2024;4(1):5-13. DOI: 10.56478/taruj2024415-13. (in Russian)

28. Shakirova E.S. Anti-Values of Modern Russian Society. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial'no-gumanitarnye issledovaniya. 2022;4(36):165-170. DOI: 10.24151/2409-1073-2022-4-165-170 (in Russian)

29. Bulygina V.G., Dubinskiy A.A., Noss I.N., Pronicheva M.M., Peeva O.D. Study of the Value-Semantic Sphere in Psychology (Mono -and Interdisciplinary Approaches). Ch. 3. In: Fadeev V.A., Varhotov T.A. (eds.). Tsennostno-smyslovye i intellektual'nye osnovaniya strategicheskogo razvitiya Rossii v usloviyakh global'nykh vyzovov: kollektivnaya nauchnaya monografiya. Moscow: Neptun; 2023. P. 40-53. (in Russian)

30. Stepanova G.S. Features of Generational Continuity and Discrepancy of Value Orientations. Mezhdunarodnyy nauchno-issledovatel'skiy zhurnal. 2015;5-3(36):123-125. (in Russian)

31. Kulaeva Z.T. Factors of Formation of Moral Values and Anti-Values of Student Youth. Kant. 2018;2(27):91-94. (in Russian)

32. Tkachenko A.A., Demidova L.Yu. Construction of a General Model of Self-Regulation in Forensic Psychiatry. Message 3. Birth of Intention. Rossiyskiy psikhiatricheskiy zhurnal. 2019;(2):17-27. DOI: 10.24411/1560-957X-2019-11916. EDN CXPZOK. (in Russian)

33. Leontiev D.A. Value as an Interdisciplinary Concept: Experience of Multidimensional Reconstruction. Voprosy filosofii. 1996;(4):15-26. (in Russian)

34. Lapshin V.E., Shamanin N.V. Features of the Value-Motivational Sphere of Personality of Adolescents Prone to Deviant Behavior. Prikladnaya yuridicheskaya psikhologiya. 2022;1(58):54-63. DOI: 10.33463/2072-8336.2022.1(58).054-063 (in Russian)

35. Bryant R. A critical review of mechanisms of adaptation to trauma: Implications for early interventions for posttraumatic stress disorder. Clinical Psychology Review. 2021;85:101981. DOI: 10.1016/j.cpr.2021.101981.

36. Isaeva E.R., Mukhitova Yu.V. Criteria for Assessing the Effectiveness of Psychosocial Rehabilitation: Current State of the Problem. Sotsial'naya i klinicheskaya psikhiatriya. 2017;27(1):83-90. EDN YIZWTV. (in Russian)

37. Mitikhin V., Solokhina T. Evaluation of the effectiveness of psychosocial rehabilitation: an innovative approach based on the analytic hierarchy process. European Psychiatry. 2024;67:S188-S189. DOI: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.409.

38. Kovess-Masfety V., Lebreton-Lerouvillois G., Gilbert F. Use of mental healthcare system and forward planning. Regional and intraregional data. L'Encéphale. 2007:S157-S163.

39. Tutun S., Johnson M.E., Ahmed A., et al. An AI-based Decision Support System for Predicting Mental Health Disorders. Information Systems Frontiers. 2023;25:1261-1276. DOI: 10.1007/s10796-022-10282-5